Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, August 1, 2026, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical cyclone 07E (Genevieve)…is located about 1655 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical cyclone 12W (Dolphin)…is located approximately 681 NM east of Iwo To

Northeast Pacific:  

Tropical cyclone 07E (Genevieve) 

GENEVIEVE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATER

According to the NHC Advisory number 36

Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue over the weekend, followed by a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and Genevieve is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km), mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: 

Western Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 12W (Dolphin) 

According to the JTWC warning number 25, sustained winds were 125 knots…with gusts to 145 knots  

Animated enhanced infrared (eir) satellite imagery depicts typhoon (ty) 12W having just completed its eyewall replacement cycle (erc), resulting in a large, clear eye measuring approximately 50 NM in diameter. The eyewall is expected to contract over the next several hours, potentially resulting in a brief re-intensification.

Environmental analysis reveals a highly favorable environment, characterized by low (5-10 kts) vertical wind shear (vws), warm (30-31 c) sea surface temperatures (sst), robust radial outflow, and ocean heat content (ohc) measuring 75-100 kj per cm squared. The 011117z ascat uhr revealed maximum winds of 123 kts, supporting the initial intensity with high confidence. The initial position is placed with high confidence based on the large eye feature in animated eir.

TY 12W (Dolphin) will continue tracking northwestward while it remains under the influence of the steering str centered to its northeast. The southwestward ridge extension will continue to build, driving the system further northwestward. Beginning around 36-48 hours, the steering influence will shift to a
second str currently centered over the Korean Peninsula, reinforcing the northwestward track motion through 120 hours.

Regarding intensity, Dolphin is forecast to gradually weaken through the end of the forecast period, and is not expected to significantly recover now that it completed erc. 12W may momentarily re-intensify slightly within the next several hours, but is expected to encounter a marginally more unfavorable environment around 24 hours. By 36 hours, vws will increase to 15-20 kts and ohc values will decrease to 50-75 kj per cm squared, causing increased impacts from the storm’s cold wake.

12W is forecast to weaken gradually through 60 hours, then weaken at an increased pace from 72-120 hours. additional eyewall replacement cycles are likely as long as the storm maintains typhoon intensity, with subsequent events further weakening the core and expanding the wind field.

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather that’s being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 152 NM east-northeast of Legazpi

Animated enhanced infrared imagery (eir) depicts deep convection associated with a mid-level circulation displaced southwest of the slowly consolidating low-level circulation center.

Environmental analysis for the area indicates favorable conditions for development with warm sea surface temperatures (29-30 c), low vertical wind shear (10-15 kts), and good
equatorward outflow aloft.

The ecmwf deterministic model depicts gradual development of 94W into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm over the next 36 hours. The ecens and deepmind ensembles concur on a slow to quasi-stationary motion near southern Luzon and possible interaction with TY 12W in a couple of days.

maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.