Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Monday, June 15, 2026, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:

Invest 93E

A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Some slight development of this system is still possible over the next day or so while it moves northward and then northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Thereafter, increasingly dry mid-level air is expected to limit further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Invest 93E

A broad area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Some slight development of this system is still possible over the next day or so while it moves northward and then northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Thereafter, increasingly dry mid-level air is expected to limit further development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:  There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western Pacific

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 92W, which is located approximately 198 NM north-northwest of Pohnpei

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts 92W as a tropical wave, with disorganized convective bursts within the northeastern periphery and a disorganized low-level circulation center (llcc), very slowly consolidating.

Environmental analysis reveals a favorable environment for development with low vertical wind shear (5-10 kts), warm sea surface temperatures (30 c), and weak poleward outflow aloft.

Global deterministic models show limited significant development in the near-term, but ensemble models agree on slow development within the next 48-72 hours with a west-northwestward track.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 13 to 18 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

Southwestern Pacific

>>> There’s a second area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 96P, which is located approximately 210 NM west of Nadi, Fiji

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts an elongated, mostly exposed low-level circulation center
(llcc) with a large band of deep convection situated along the eastern periphery of the system.

Environmental analysis indicates unfavorable characteristics for tropical development with very high (40-50 kts)
westerly vertical wind shear, cool (26-27 c) sea surface temperatures offset by strong poleward outflow.

Global deterministic and ensemble models agree on a southeastward track, south of Fiji over the next 24 hours. 96P is expected to become further embedded within the strong mid-latitude westerlies and transition into an extratropical cyclone as an incoming upper-level trough envelops the system.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 33 to 38 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.