Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Monday, June 29, 2026, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western East Pacific:

Invest 95E

>>>  A broad low pressure trough located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are showing some signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is likely during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of this week while the system moves generally northwestward and then northward. Environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive by the end of the week, ending its chances of development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western Pacific

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 95W, which is located approximately 411 NM east-northeast of Pohnpei

Animated enhanced multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts a broad area of cyclonic turning gradually consolidating within an elongated trough.

Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development with low vertical wind shear (10-15 kts), good poleward outflow aloft, and warm (29-30c) sea surface temperatures.

Global models depict 95W gradually consolidating as 95W slowly transits northwestward.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

Western Pacific

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 98 NM southeast of Manila

Animated enhanced multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts persistent convection on the western periphery of a slightly exposed mid-level circulation center.

Environmental analysis reveals unfavorable conditions for development, with low vertical wind shear (10-15 kts) and equatorward outflow
aloft; however, ongoing land interaction over the Philippines remains the primary limiting factor for further consolidation.

The system is expected to enter a much more favorable environment as 96W transits northwestward into the South China Sea, where it is forecast to consolidate further and intensify.

This assessment is supported by global deterministic and ensemble model guidance, which depicts rapid development once the system enters the South China Sea in 24-36 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.