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Dec
07
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 05B is now active over the Bay of Bengal…located about 696 NM south of Chittagong, India

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours, Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, PDC Active Hazards and Estimated Wind Impacts (TAOS Model) for Tropical Cyclone 05B

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours, Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, PDC Active Hazards and Estimated Wind Impacts (TAOS Model) for Tropical Cyclone 05B

Tropical Cyclone 05B is gaining strength over the Bay of Bengal…and may reach typhoon strength with time

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system…along with what the computer models are showing.

Here’s a near real-time wind profile of TC 05B near the Adaman Islands

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite images depict flaring deep convection near the low level circulation center, displaced to the east near the Adaman Islands.

TC 05B has been meandering  toward the north over the past 24 hours, as it slowly becomes better organized…although a turn towards the northwest is expected within 24 hours.

The low level center is located immediately beneath a region of low wind shear of 10-15 knots. This shear will increase a little…to low to moderate as the system turns northwest.

Upper atmospheric outflow is moderately conducive for further development, with weak outflow channels oriented towards the west and northeast.

All dynamic model guidance suggests a track toward the northwest, with eventual landfall along the coast of east-central India by 120 hours.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #1 were 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots.

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

 There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 05B 

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Dec
06
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on Bay of Bengal, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on Bay of Bengal, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers

However, there’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 99W…which is located approximately 690 NM southeast of Visakhapatnam, India

Here’s a satellite image of this area of disturbed weather…along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows convection flaring to the north and east of an increasingly defined low level circulation center, with cloud banding steadily becoming clearer and more organized.

Upper level conditions in the area are marginally favorable, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, offset by strong upper level outflow…and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models are in agreement that the disturbance will continue to track to the northwest over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 25-30 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours has been upgraded to high

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

 There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Dec
05
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on Bay of Bengal, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on Bay of Bengal, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers

However, there’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 99W…which is located approximately 830 NM southeast of Visakhapatnam, India

Here’s a satellite image of this area of disturbed weather…along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows convection flaring to the east of a moderately defined low level circulation center, with some cloud banding beginning to form.

Upper level conditions in the area are marginally favorable, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear…offset by strong upper level outflow.

Global models are in agreement that the disturbance will track to the north or northwest over the next several days, with development likely in 2-3 days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains at medium

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

 There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Dec
02
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on the Pacific and Indian Oceans, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers.

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on the western Pacific and Indian Oceans, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers

Tropical Cyclone Activity is not expected for the time being, nor are any tropical disturbances under investigation by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

 There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Dec
01
2016

Hazard Highlights

Severe Weather Conditions Continue Across Caribbean

HH120116

PDC Disaster Alert, centered on the Caribbean, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (1 Day) layers.

Over the past two months, severe weather has impacted many of the islands in the Caribbean, bringing heavy rains, strong winds, and tropical cyclones to the region (ECHO).

  • On November 29, overnight heavy rainfall that triggered widespread flooding and landslides prompted the closing of schools and businesses in Kingstown, the capital city of St. Vincent and the Grenadines (PAHO, Media). As of December 1, flood warnings have been discontinued and damage assessments are underway (NEMO).
  • Ongoing heavy rainfall throughout the month of November has led to flooding and landslides across much of the Dominican Republic. Flooding has severely impacted subsistence farming in the provinces of Duarte (specifically the area of Bajo Yuna) and Puerto Plata, and damage to drinking water sources has been identified in Puerto Plata, Espaillat, Duarte, Maria Trinidad Sánchez, Monte Cristi, Santiago, and Valverde (ReliefWeb/IFRC). As of November 30, an estimated 4,000 homes have been damaged and approximately 20,000 people remain displaced (PAHO).
  • Severe flooding from heavy rainfall is also impacting Barbados, Saint Lucia, and Dominica (PAHO).

RVA Country Profile: Dominican Republic

HH120116

This Week in Hazards

  • Severe weather is affecting Saudi Arabia, where heavy rainfall has led to flooding in several areas of the country. As of November 30, severe weather conditions have led to several injuries and deaths, as well as damage to houses and transportation infrastructure (ECHO).
  • Wildfires continue to affect parts of the southeastern United States, including a fire in Sevier County, Tennessee, that prompted the mandatory evacuation of 14,000 people from the city of Gatlinburg (NASA, TEMA). As of December 1, approximately 8,500 people throughout Sevier County remain without power as the Chimney Tops 2 Fire (which began on November 23) continues to burn near Gatlinburg, Pigeon Forge, and surrounding areas adjacent to the Great Smoky Mountains National Park (InciWeb).

Current Hazard Warnings

Flood: Dominican Republic, Bolivia, Paraguay, Saudi Arabia (Western), Thailand, Myanmar, Australia (Victoria), Venezuela, Caribbean Region (Barbados, Saint Lucia, Dominica, St. Vincent and the Grenadines)

Winter Storm: Canada (Yukon)

Wildfire: United States (Tennessee)

Drought: United States (Western, Southern, Northeastern), Brazil

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible of Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

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