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Oct
31
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Vance) is active in the Eastern Pacific Ocean…located approximately 475 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico – Tropical Storm 

Tropical Cyclone 20W (Nuri) is active in the Western Pacific Ocean…located approximately 254 NM northwest of Yap…Tropical Storm 

http://atlas.pdc.org/atlas/?bookmark=9100

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 21E in the Eastern Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 20W in the Western Pacific

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 20W in the Western Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 21E (Vance)

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite Image of this area

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 20W (Nuri)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface temperatures for this area of the NW Pacific

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for this area of the South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the South Indian Ocean

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Arabian Sea

Oct
31
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico 

atlantic103114

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of the area

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

Oct
30
2014

Hazard Highlights

Flood Follow-Up: Central America; Landslides in Sri Lanka, China

Heavy Rains Continue in Central America

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PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying PDC Integrated Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (7 Day) layers.

Above-average rainfall continues to affect parts of Central America, including Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua (CPC). In Guatemala, consistent heavy rains have led to landslides and rivers rising above their maximum levels. Heavy rains are forecast to continue throughout the coming week over areas of western and northern Guatemala and along the Atlantic coast of Central America, leading to further risks of flooding, landslides, and worsening conditions.

Heavy Rains Trigger Landslides in Sri Lanka, China

103014

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying PDC Integrated Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (7 Day) layers.

Heavy monsoon rains triggered a landslide in the Badulla District of Sri Lanka on October 29, which damaged or destroyed 150 homes that were part of a Meeriyabedda tea plantation (ECHO Daily Flash October 30). Rescue operations are on-going and, according to reports, 16 people have been confirmed dead and 300 are still missing as of October 30.

Rain also triggered a landslide in China’s Yunnan Province that buried nine miners on October 28 (ReliefWeb).  According to reports, rescue efforts are underway, but rain and the threat of more landslides are hindering progress.

Current Hazard Warnings

Drought: United States (Southwest, Pacific)

Biomedical: West Africa

Wildfire: United States (Oregon, California)

Flood: Honduras, United Kingdom, Panama

Severe Weather: Canada (Quebec)

Volcano: United States (Hawaii)

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the Global Hazards Atlas.

Oct
30
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 21E is active in the Eastern Pacific Ocean…located approximately 380 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico – Tropical Depression

Tropical Cyclone 04A (Nilofar) is active in the Indian Oceanlocated approximately 303 NM south-southwest of Karachi, Pakistan – Tropical Storm

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 21E in the Indian Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone 21E in the Indian Ocean

Here’s a satellite image of this area

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Nilofar in the Indian Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone Positions and Segments, and Estimated Winds (TAOS Model) layers for Tropical Cyclone Nilofar in the Indian Ocean

Here’s a satellite image of this area

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, and an area of tropical disturbance in the Western Pacific with a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, and an area of tropical disturbance in the Western Pacific with a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 21E

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite Image of this area

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
140.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.9E, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A BROAD, BUT QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER WITH IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING. A 300031Z PARTIAL ASCAT
PASS REVEALED AN IMPROVED LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE WHILE A 300711Z SSMIS
37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWED THE BANDING FEATURES ARE BECOMING MORE
DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH
LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD
OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BECOME MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH DEVELOPMENT IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS THIS SYSTEM PROCEEDS WEST. DUE TO THE
CONTINUALLY IMPROVING STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM AND MODEL DEVELOPMENT,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface temperatures for this area of the NW Pacific

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for this area of the South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 04A (Nilofar)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the South Indian Ocean

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Arabian Sea

Oct
30
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations…with an area of tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations…with an area of tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of the area

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center Miami FL

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The area of low pressure just north of the Virgin Islands has
become less organized. Upper-level winds are expected to remain
unfavorable for tropical cyclone development while the system turns
toward the northwest and north over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…lownear 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…lownear 0 percent.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

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