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Jul
24
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby) remains active in the central Pacific Ocean…located about 110 miles south-southeast of Honolulu, Hawaii

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 240 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 08E (Georgette) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 04W (Lupit) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…located about 985 nm east of Yokosuka, Japan…final advisory

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

Tropical Storm 05E (Darby) is passing through the Hawaiian Islands

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Darby is moving toward the west-northwest at near 9 mph

Darby’s current projected NHC track brings it across the Hawaiian Islands through this weekend, which could bring rising surf, increased winds and rains…depending upon its eventual movements and strength. 

Tropical Storm 07E (Frank) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Frank is moving toward the west-northwest at near 7 mph

The current NHC track would keep Frank well away from the Hawaiian Islands

Tropical Storm 08E (Georgette) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Georgette is moving toward the west-northwest at near 10 mph

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 04W (Lupit)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 04W (Lupit)

Tropical Storm 04W (Lupit) is active over the western Pacific…moving over the open ocean…final advisory

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Four is moving toward the north-northeastward at near 25 kts

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank)  

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 04W (Lupit)…final warning

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Jul
23
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby) remains active in the central Pacific Ocean…located about 80 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 385 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico

Tropical Cyclone 08E (Georgette) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 975 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 04W (Four) is active in the western Pacific Ocean…located about 772 nm east-northeast of Iwo To

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

Tropical Storm 05E (Darby) is approaching the Hawaiian Islands… and is forecast cross through the Hawaiian Islands this weekend.

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Darby is moving toward the west at near 9 mph

Darby’s current projected NHC track brings it across the Hawaiian Islands this weekend, which could bring rising surf, increased winds and rains…depending upon its eventual movements and strength. 

Tropical Storm 07E (Frank) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Frank is moving toward the west-northwest at near 8 mph

The current NHC track would keep Frank well away from the Hawaiian Islands

Tropical Storm 08E (Georgette) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Georgette is moving toward the west-northwest at near 13 mph

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 04W (Four)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 04W (Four)

Tropical Storm 04W (Four) is active over the western Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Four is moving toward the northeast at near 19 kts

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank)  

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Jul
22
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby) remains active in the central Pacific Ocean…located about 390 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 235 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico

Tropical Cyclone 08E (Georgette) is active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 870 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 06E (Estelle) remains active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…located about 1505 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California…final advisory

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 06E (Estelle), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby), Tropical Cyclone 06E (Estelle), Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank) and Tropical Cyclone 08E(Georgette)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, and TAOS wind impacts layer for Tropical Cyclone 05E (Darby)

Tropical Storm 05E (Darby) is approaching the Hawaiian Islands… and is forecast to pass very close to the Big Island and Maui early this weekend.

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Darby is moving toward the west at near 12 mph

Darby’s current projected NHC track brings it close to the Hawaiian Islands this weekend, which could bring rising surf, some increased winds and rains…depending upon its eventual movements and strength. 

Tropical Storm 07E (Frank) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Frank is moving toward the northwest at near 14 mph

The current NHC track would keep Frank well away from the Hawaiian Islands

Tropical Storm 08E (Georgette) is active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Georgette is moving toward the west-northwest at near 13 mph

Tropical Storm 06E (Estelle) remains active over the eastern Pacific…moving over the open ocean…final advisory

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s the near real time wind profile of this tropical cyclone

Tropical Storm Estelle is moving toward the west-northwest at near 16 mph

The current NHC track would keep Estelle well away from the Hawaiian Islands

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 06E (Estelle)…final advisory 

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Tropical Cyclone 07E (Frank)  

NHC textual forecast
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Jul
22
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-days

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last day

There are no active tropical cyclones, nor any tropical disturbances under investigation, in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, or the Atlantic Ocean…according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

Jul
21
2016

Hazard Highlights

Flooding Disaster Continues in India

Rain-India

Global Hazards Atlas, centered on India in the early hours of July 21 (local time), displaying PDC Active Hazards and rainfall accumulation over the past seven days.

Various levels of flooding are part of the cycle of the Monsoon Season in India. Throughout the wet season, the Disaster Management Division of the Ministry of Home Affairs issues “Daily Monsoon/Flood Situation Reports (DMD).” Even though, in fact, these reports are not required/updated on a daily basis, the flooding this year (as is often the case) has become a major concern.

Floodlist.com, a global monitoring service funded by the Copernicus program of the European Commission, has reported on flooding in India five times so far in the month of July (List). July 1: At Least 30 Dead in Uttarakhand Floods; July 5: India Floods–80,000 Affected in Assam, Search for Missing Continues in Uttarakhand; July 12: Over 120,000 Affected by Floods in Assam; July 12: Over 20 Killed in Madhya Pradesh Floods; and July 20: Over 120 Dead After Monsoon Rains Cause Floods and Landslides in 8 States.

The most recent national Disaster Management Division release cites the Central Water Commission (CWC) as reporting on July 18 that “there is no Unprecedented, High flood site in the country. However, 10 Moderate flood sites have been reported in Assam, Bihar & Uttar Pradesh.” CWC then lists 10 river areas where the flow is at a depth greater than what is called the “danger level.” Flooding is summarized as affecting 548,067 persons, with 124 dead, and 36,543 homes partially or fully destroyed.

The same DMD report also details nearly 40 operational deployments of the National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) and several requisitions for Army and Air Force assistance in flood response and rescue. Sadly, it also forecasts rainfall through July 25 as very likely in “most places over  northeastern states, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and along west coast;” at “many places over northwest, central and east India;” and across “a few places over remaining parts of the country outside West Rajasthan and Saurashtra & Kutch, where [rainfall is] likely to be isolated.”

Note: The country profile below is the same depiction of India that was used last week when, in fact, the flooding situation in the subcontinent was not as bad as it is today.

RVA Country Profile: INDIA

India-0716

This Week in Hazards

  • The week began with a report from the Sudan Red Crescent Society (SRCS/ReliefWeb) that heavy rain in Khartoum State had “destroyed 105 houses and damaged a further 124 houses… affecting an estimated 1,145 people, and two people were reportedly killed.” The report also indicated that one of the main hospitals in the state was already flooded as well. At the same time, in North Darfur (state), “500 houses were reportedly destroyed… [and] 7,000 people” affected, including thousands in a camp for internally displaced persons. What’s more, the outlook is not optimistic: “Although flooding occurs annually in Sudan, according to the Ministry of Water Resources, the level of the River Nile and its tributaries are [sic] already close to alarming levels at this early stage of the rainy season (June to October/ September).” For details and additional areas, see the UN OCHA report (online).
  • Flooding is also occurring in Ukraine. So are high winds, lightning strikes, and fallout from these—such as power outages and damaged buildings. The forecasts from the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center (UHC) don’t promise much in the way of relief in the next five days. Additionally, news reports in the national press (Ukraine Today) say, “Severe weather conditions left numerous cities without electricity, one person reported dead… Weather storm has covered nearly the whole territory of Ukraine… The meteorologists say there has been a monthly rainfall level during one night [July 20].”

Current Hazard Warnings

Extreme Heat: Canada (Ontario, Manitoba)

Flood: Sudan, Ukraine, Malaysia, Indonesia, Western Africa, Myanmar, India

Drought: Central and Eastern Africa, southern Bolivia, United States (west and south), Southeast Asia

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the Global Hazards Atlas.

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