Pacific Disaster Center Fostering Disaster Resilient Communities  

Providing Weather and Hazard Related News

Weather Wall

Jul
01
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 24-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 24-hours

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Central or Eastern Pacific Ocean, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida…and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu, Hawaii

1.) However, there’s a tropical disturbance that’s likely to become a tropical cyclone well offshore from the southern Mexican coast, shown above on the PDC Atlas, which has a low chance of developing over the next 2-days…which increases to a high chance over the next 5-days (indicated by the red elongated circle on the image above)

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of this area, being referred to as Invest 94E…with what the computer models are showing

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next several days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico.

2.) Finally, there’s a second tropical disturbance, showing above on the PDC Atlas, which has a low chance of developing over the next 2-days…and remains low over the next 5-days (indicated by the yellow elongated circle on the image above)

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of this general area

Shower activity associated with a low pressure area several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has become better organized since yesterday…and satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined.

Some additional development of this system is possible during the next couple days as it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.

After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 24-hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 24-hours

There are no active tropical cyclones, nor any tropical disturbances under investigation, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in the western Pacific, Indian Ocean…or Arabian Sea

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

1.) A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south- southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next several days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent

2.) Shower activity associated with a low pressure area several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become better organized since yesterday, and satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined. Some additional development of this system is possible during the next couple days as it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

No tropical cyclones expected through the next 2-days

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area