Tropical Cyclone 14L (Karl)
Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Karl…is located about 125 miles northeast of Veracruz, Mexico

KARL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO

NHC advisory number 2

Karl is moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A turn to the west and west-southwest is expected on Wednesday evening and a turn to the southwest is forecast by Thursday morning.

On the forecast track, Karl will be approaching the coast of Mexico within the watch area on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

Gradual strengthening is expected for the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening on Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce the following rainfall totals:

*Isthmus of Tehuantepec…3 to 6 inches, with local maximum up to 10 inches. *Southern Sierra Madre Oriental and adjacent coast…2 to 4 inches with local maximum up to 6 inches.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible along the Mexican coastline in the watch area starting Thursday.

SURF: Swells generated by Karl are expected to effect the Mexican coastline for the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.