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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, October 16, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of America
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no Tropical Cyclones
Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
North Atlantic
>>> A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently developing several hundred miles to the south of of Nova Scotia, Canada.
This system is expected to drop southeastward and then turn northeastward by this weekend, and some subtropical or tropical development could occur while the system moves over the Gulf Stream to the northeast of Bermuda.
By early next week, the system will move further northeastward into colder waters, ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent
Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
East of the Windward Islands into the Caribbean Sea:
>>> A tropical wave located over the tropical central Atlantic is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. Some slow development of this system is possible when it reaches the central portion of the Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent
Gulf of America: There are no active tropical cyclones
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7-days.