Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Tuesday, October 21, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of America

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone Melissa…is located about 325 miles south-southwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti

Atlantic Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED OVER HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

According to the NHC advisory number 3

Melissa is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A decrease in forward speed and a gradual turn to the northwest and north is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in Haiti beginning on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions could begin in Jamaica on Thursday or Friday.

RAINFALL: Melissa is forecast to bring 5 to 10 inches of rain to southern Haiti and the southern Dominican Republic through Friday, with locally higher amounts possible.

Across eastern Jamaica, 4 to 8 inches of rain is expected, also with locally higher amounts possible. Additional heavy rainfall is possible beyond Friday; however, uncertainty in Melissa’s track and forward speed reduces confidence in exact totals. Significant flash flooding and landslides are possible. Across the northern Dominican Republic and northern Haiti, 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected through Friday. For Aruba, western Jamaica, and Puerto Rico, 1 to 3 inches is expected through the same period. Flash and urban flooding will be possible through at least Friday.

SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are expected to spread to Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next couple of days.