Tropical Cyclone Fernand / Invest 99L – Atlantic
Sunday, August 24, 2025

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, August 24, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of America

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone Fernand…is located about 295 miles east of Bermuda

 

Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Fernand

FERNAND GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN.

Fernand is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or two, followed by a turn to the northeast. On the forecast track, Fernand should move across the open waters of the subtropical central Atlantic well east and northeast of Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is anticipated through tomorrow, with weakening likely to begin on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.

 

East of the Windward Islands

Invest 99L

>>> Data from the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the system located near the Windward Islands does not have a closed low-level circulation. However, the system is still producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms and winds to near gale force, and these conditions are expected to affect the Windward and Leeward Islands tonight and Monday. The system is expected to reach the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, where conditions are forecast to become less favorable for additional development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent

 

Caribbean Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7-days.

 

Gulf of America:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7-days.