Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, August 15, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of America

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone Erin…is located about 195 miles east-northeast of Anguilla

Atlantic Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Erin

ERIN FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER IN THE WEEKEND…OUTER RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

According to the NHC advisory number 19A

Erin is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). This motion is expected to continue through the weekend with a gradual decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Erin is expected to move just north of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours, and Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane later in the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL: The outer bands of Erin are expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall tonight into Sunday across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals of 6 inches, are expected. This rainfall may lead to isolated and locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Erin will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend, and will likely spread to the western Atlantic next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.