By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the NHC
There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the CPHC
Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea:
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 93W which is located approximately 938 NM south-southeast of Kadena AFB, Japan
Animated multi-spectral imagery depicts a consolidating low level circulation with flaring, disorganized convective banding extending in a southwest to northeast orientation in the southern half of the system.
93W still has some work to do to get down to a more consolidated and vertically stacked system, but environmental conditions are highly favorable with good radial outflow aloft, low (5-10 knot) vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures.
Deterministic and probabilistic models are in alignment that the eastern periphery of the larger circulation will consolidate more into a well-defined circulation center, and rapidly deepen and intensify as it wanders towards the northwest over the next 24-36 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 23 to 27 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.