By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no tropical cyclones
Western Pacific Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Remnants of 01W (Sanvu)…which is located approximately 426 NM east-southeast of Guam
Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery shows a broad, ragged, and partly-exposed low-level circulation (llc) with disorganized convection sheared eastward of the llc.
Environmental analysis reveals marginal conditions with strong poleward outflow, low (5-10 knot) vertical wind shear over the llc and warm sea surface temperatures offset by dry air entrainment and strong (25+ knot) vertical wind shear just 30 NM to the north.
Global models are in agreement that the system will have no significant development as it tracks westward over the next 24-48 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.