By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no tropical cyclones
Northwest Pacific Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 93W, and is located approximately 400 NM east of Davao, Philippines.
Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts fragmented but organizing convective banding features to the north and west of the broad low level circulation center.
Environmental analysis shows 93W to have generally good radial outflow aloft with favorable upper level divergence, low (5-10 knot) vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that 93W will track generally west northwestward and continue to consolidate over the next 72 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.