Current Snapshot

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no tropical cyclones

Northwest Pacific Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 93W, which is located approximately 250 NM east of Puerto Princesa, Philippines.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depict a broad, disorganized low level circulation center with flaring convection.

Analysis indicates the invest is in a marginally favorable environment for development defined by good poleward outflow aloft with favorable upper-level divergence and warm sea surface temperatures offset by moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear.

Global models are in good agreement that 93W will track generally westward across the Sulu Sea over the next 24-48 hours. Although the environment is favorable, the weak low-level structure and interaction with land will likely limit development in the near-term.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.