Tropical Cyclone 08W
Wednesday, August 3, 2022

Current Snapshot

For all the latest updates visit: DisasterAWARE

By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Tropical Cyclone 08W is located approximately 51 NM east-northeast of Hong Kong

 

>>> Offshore of Southern Mexico:

A tropical wave located off the western coast of Central America is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

The wave is forecast to move west and an area of low pressure is expected to form south of southern Mexico within the next couple of days.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for subsequent development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend. The system is forecast to turn west-northwestward over the weekend into early next week, remaining well offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

>>> Well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands:

Another area of low pressure could form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin later this week.

Some gradual development of this system is possible over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward toward the central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

 

Central Pacific:

Well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands:

An area of low pressure could form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin later this week.

Some gradual development of this system is possible over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward toward or into the central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

 

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea:

Tropical Cyclone 08W

According to the JTWC…Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts a consolidating low-level circulation with improved convective banding over the southern semicircle over warm sea surface temperatures and flaring convection overland.

Animated radar imagery from Hong Kong radar clearly showed improving convective structure as the system approached and skirted the southern coast of china. Recent radar imagery shows a defined center making landfall northeast of Hong Kong near Danshui on a west-northwestward trajectory.

Upper-level conditions are marginally-favorable with moderate equatorward
outflow, weak poleward outflow and low to moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear. Interaction with land is the primary hindrance.