Tropical Cyclone 13E (Kenneth) / Invest 91C
Thursday, September 21, 2023

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, September 21, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 13E (Kenneth)…is located about 1080 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California


Northeast Pacific Ocean:

Tropical Cyclone 13E (Kenneth)


According to the NHC advisory number 11

Kenneth is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northward motion is expected to begin later tonight and continue through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Kenneth is expected to become a remnant low on Friday.


>>> Central East Pacific…

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally westward across the central and western part of the eastern Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent

Central North Pacific:

>>> Approximately 900 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii… 

Invest 91C

An area of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Westerly winds aloft will maintain marginally conducive conditions for some development during the next couple of days.

The environment will become less conducive this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:

There’s no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC at the time of this writing