By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, September 10, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas
Current Tropical Cyclones:
Post-Tropical Cyclone 11E (Jova)…is located approximately 10 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California – Last Advisory
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
Post-Tropical Cyclone 11E Jova – Last Advisory
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTS OF CALIFORNIA AND MEXICO
According to the NHC Advisory number 25…
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A gradual turn toward the west and west-southwest is expected over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Jova has become a remnant low and will continue to
gradually spin down.
Central North Pacific…
There are no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the CPHC.
Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 90W…which is located approximately 220 NM west-northwest of Guam
Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts disorganized flaring convection with a poorly defined low level circulation center.
Environmental analysis indicates that 90W is in a marginally favorable environment for development with weak divergence aloft offset by low (10-15 knot) vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models show that 90W will travel northeastward over the next 48 hours with weak development.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.