By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, July 8, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
>>> Offshore of Southwestern Mexico…
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a large area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
This system has not significantly changed in organization during the past several hours. However, any increase in organization would lead to the development of a tropical depression later today.
By tonight and Monday, the system is expected to move west-northwestward into a less favorable environment well west of the coast of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent
>>> Offshore of Southern Mexico…
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward parallel to, but well offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent
Central Pacific Ocean:
There are no tropical cyclones…nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7-days.
Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:
There are no tropical cyclones…nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)