By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Tuesday, October 3, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Philippe)…is located about 120 miles north-northwest of St. Thomas
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Philippe)
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
According to the NHC advisory number 43…
Philippe is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Wednesday, followed by a faster motion toward the north on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Philippe will continue to move away from the Virgin Islands. Philippe will then approach Bermuda Thursday night and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Philippe is forecast to produce the following rainfall amounts through early Wednesday:
Anguilla southward to Montserrat, including St. Kitts and Nevis, and the British Virgin Islands: 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts to 12 inches.
Rest of Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands: 1 to 4 inches
The U.S. Virgin Islands and northeast Puerto Rico: 2 to 4 inches
This rainfall may result in isolated to scattered flash flooding.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area today. Strong gusty winds are also likely elsewhere in the Leeward Islands today.
SURF: Swells generated by Philippe will affect portions of the Atlantic coasts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through midweek. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions