By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, September 3, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing
>>> Central Tropical Atlantic…
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have become a little better organized over the past several hours.
Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form over the next day or so while the low moves toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph
across the central tropical Atlantic. Additional strengthening, possibly to a hurricane, is likely later this week while the system moves over western portions of the tropical Atlantic, near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. /span>
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…100 percent
>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic…
A strong tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of West Africa today.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of the week while the system moves to the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
This system is expected to move across the Cabo Verde Islands Wednesday night and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent
>>> Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin)…
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located several hundred miles north of the Azores, and is forecast to move quickly southeastward towards warmer waters east of the Azores.
This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week or this weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent