By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Tuesday, September 5, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Lee)…is located about 1230 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Lee)
LEE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE BY THE WEEKEND
According to the NHC advisory number 3…
Lee is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days with a slight reduction in forward speed.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Lee is forecast to become a hurricane by tomorrow night and a major hurricane by Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.
>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic…
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Atlantic between the Cabo Verde Islands and the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week or this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
over the eastern tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to move
across the Cabo Verde Islands tonight and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent
>>> Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin)…
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located a few hundred miles northeast of the Azores, and is forecast to move quickly east-southeastward towards warmer waters east of the Azores.
This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week or this weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent