By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, September 8, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Lee)…is located about 440 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands
Tropical Cyclone 14L (Margot)…is located about 810 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
Tropical Cyclone 13L (Lee)
AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND LEE NOT AS STRONG BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE…HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH NEXT WEEK
According to the NHC advisory number 15…
Lee is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early next week with a significant decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, Lee is expected to pass well to the north of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend and into early next week.
Data from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Lee is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are likely over the next few days, however Lee is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF: Swells generated by Lee are affecting portions of the Lesser Antilles, and will reach the British and U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas, and Bermuda this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Dangerous surf and rip currents are expected to begin along most of the U.S. East
Coast Sunday and Monday and worsen through the week.
Tropical Cyclone 14L Margot
MARGOT NOT YET STRENGTHENING BUT STILL FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE NEXT WEEK
According to the NHC advisory number 7…
Margot is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). This general motion should continue overnight. A slower north-northwestward to northward motion is forecast to begin by late Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected through early next week.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.