Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, August 25, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone (Franklin)…is located about 690 miles south of Bermuda

Tropical Cyclone 09L (Franklin)

FRANKLIN STRENGTHENS

According to the NHC Advisory number 22…

Franklin is moving toward the east-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A sharp turn toward the north is expected on Saturday, followed by a northward to north-northwestward motion over the western Atlantic through early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, followed by more significant strengthening on Sunday and Monday. Franklin is forecast to become a hurricane by early next week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

>>> Central Subtropical Atlantic:

Remnants of Emily…

Satellite imagery indicates the remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily have become absorbed by an elongated area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions while this system merges with a nearby frontal boundary over the north central Atlantic during the next day or so.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…near 0 percent

>>> Central Tropical Atlantic…

Invest 92L

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally northwestward over the central
subtropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent

>>> Northwestern Caribbean Sea and eastern Gulf of Mexico…

Invest 93L

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in association with an area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, western Cuba, and Florida should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic…

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa early next week.

Some slow development of this system is possible during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent