By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, August 26, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone (Franklin)…is located about 610 miles south-southwest of Bermuda
Tropical Cyclone 10L…is located about 65 miles northeast of Cozumel. Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 09L (Franklin)
FRANKLIN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN…FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK
According to the NHC Advisory number 25…
Franklin is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a north-northwestward to northward motion is expected over the western Atlantic through early next week.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast, and Franklin could become a major hurricane early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
Tropical Cyclone 10L
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
According to the NHC Advisory number 1…
The depression is nearly stationary, and little overall movement is expected through Sunday. A slow, generally northward, motion is expected to begin on Monday. On the forecast track, the center will move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
system is likely to become a tropical storm on Sunday.
>>> Central Tropical Atlantic…
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally northwestward over the central
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent
>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic…
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent