By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, June 22, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 03L (Bret)…is located about 35 miles south of St. Lucia
Tropical Cyclone 04L (Cindy)…is located about 1110 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
Tropical Cyclone 03L (Bret)
CENTER OF BRET NEAR ST. VINCENT…HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT
According to the NHC advisory number 15
Bret is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Bret is expected to move through and away from the Windward Islands during the next several hours, and then move westward across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea Friday and Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are now near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated over the next couple of days, and the system is likely to dissipate over the central Caribbean Sea Saturday night or Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The Hewanorra International Airport on St. Lucia recently reported sustained winds of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 mph (111 km/h). Tropical-storm conditions are also being reported from Martinique.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Wind: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area through tonight.
Rainfall: Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe south through St. Vincent and the Grenadines, including Barbados. The heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially across areas of higher terrain. Urban flooding is also possible.
Surf: Swells generated by Bret are expected to affect portions of the Lesser Antilles through Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Tropical Cyclone 04L (Cindy)
TROPICAL STORM CINDY FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
According to the NHC advisory number 4
Cindy is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to remain well northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through early next week.
Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) to the north of the center.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND