By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, November 10, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no Tropical Cyclones
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
There are no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at the time of this writing.
Central North Pacific:
There are no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) at the time of this writing.
Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:
There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 95W…which is located approximately 505 NM south-southeast of Guam
Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts an exposed and broad low-level circulation center with disorganized, deep convection in the northern periphery. Another image reveals an elongated circulation with 15-20 knot winds in the western and northern quadrants of the circulation with weaker 5-15 knot winds elsewhere.
Environmental analysis indicates that 95W is in a marginally favorable environment for development with easterly diffluent flow, low to moderate (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models agree that 95W will be quasi-stationary as it slowly develops over the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.