By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, November 2, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas
Current Tropical Cyclones:
Tropical Cyclone 19E (Pilar)…located about 465 miles southwest of Salina Cruz, Mexico
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
Tropical Cyclone 19E (Pilar)
SMALL PILAR MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN EAST PACIFIC
According to the NHC advisory number 22
Pilar is moving rapidly toward the west-southwest near 22 mph (35 km/h). This general motion with a gradual slowdown is expected during the next day or so, followed by a more westward and west-northwestward motion by the end of the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Very gradual weakening is forecast over the next 2 to 3 days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center.
>>> West-Central East Pacific…
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the western Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur
before it moves inland over Central America on Friday night or Saturday.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring heavy rains over portions of Jamaica through tonight and across Central America through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent
Central North Pacific:
There are no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the CPHC at the time of this writing.
Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:
There are no tropical cyclones, nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the JTWC at the time of this writing.