CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONESTropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen)…is located approximately 493 NM southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan
Northeast PacificThe remnants of Atlantic basin Tropical Depression Nana are moving into the eastern Pacific waters near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development through early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward, near or along the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North PacificTropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen)
Here’s what the computer models show According to the JTWC, the upper environment is characterized by near radial outflow and low <10 knot wind shear…along with warm sea surface temperatures. The typhoon is tracking through a highly favorable environment for continued development. Typhoon Haishen will track generally west-northwestward, and then slowly turn poleward through 72 hours. In the near term, TY 11W is expected to rapidly intensify due to a continued favorable environment, with the intensity peaking at 130 knots by 24 hours. After 72 hours, the models diverge, which will increase the uncertainty in the exact track forecast. The track could shift eastward toward Kyushu. After 72 hours, increasing wind shear and cooling sea surface temperatures will weaken the system.
Satellite image of this area