CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 15W (Kujira)…located approximately 734 NM east of Yokosuka, Japan
 

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EEP/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EEP-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/EPAC/94E.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20200928.2330.goes17.x.vis1km_high.94EINVEST.25kts-1008mb-137N-1052W.100pc.jpg https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_5d0.png What the computer models are showing… for what’s being referred to as Invest 94E Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to steadily become more conducive, and a tropical depression will likely form later tonight or on Tuesday. The low is expected to move generally westward for the next several days, and then turn west-northwestward by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)  

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)  

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp1520.gif https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/WPAC/15W.KUJIRA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200928.2130.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.15WKUJIRA.60kts-980mb-326N-1541E.100pc.jpg Tropical Cyclone 15W (Kujira) 
Here’s what the computer models show According to the JTWC, upper air analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment with robust poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear aloft…however strong convergence over the southern semicircle continues to hinder convective development. TS 15W is forecast to track north-northeastward through 24 hours. The system is expected to peak at 55 knots by 24 hours, with gradual weakening thereafter, as wind shear increases to 30 knots, and the system tracks over cool sea surface temperatures.  
 
>>> There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 98W, which is located approximately 380 NM east-southeast of Iwo To, Japan Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, environmental analysis indicates Invest 98W is experiencing low <15 knot wind shear, moderate equatorward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models do not resolve invest 98W well, and therefore do not indicate the development of the system at this time…as the system tracks poleward. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.  

South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Arabian Sea

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.