CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert)…is located about 385 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)…is located about 281 miles southwest of Yokosuka, Japan
Tropical Cyclone 17W…is located about 358 NM east-southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam
Northeast PacificTropical Cyclone 19E (Norbert) NORBERT REMAINS A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION What the computer models are showing According to the NHC advisory 18…The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and Norbert is expected to dissipate by Sunday night. >>> Dry air continues to limit shower and thunderstorm activity in association with a small low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next day or so as the low moves toward the west or west-southwest at 10 to 15 mph. Thereafter, strong upper-level winds will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Western North PacificTropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)
Here’s what the computer models show According to the JTWC, TS 16W is now passing through an unfavorable environment for continued development, with high 30+ knot wind shear, offset slightly by warm sea surface temperatures and robust outflow aloft TS 16W is forecast to track east- northeastward through the next 24 hours. Continued high wind shear will lead to further weakening to 45 knots by this time. Wind shear will remain high and lead to further weakening despite warm sea surface temperatures to 35 knots by 48 hours.