Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
May 31, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 93A, that’s located approximately 332 NM south-southwest of Mumbai, India.
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts a broad, consolidating circulation with some formative banding to the east. There continues to be persistent convection associated with this system.
Environmental analysis indicates low 10-15 knot wind shear, continued westerly upper level outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in agreement that 93A will consolidate over the next 36-48 hours and track generally northward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.