Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
May 22, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93B, which is located approximately 376 NM south-southwest of Chittagong, Bangladesh
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals formative convective banding wrapping into a broad low level circulation center.
Environmental analysis shows favorable conditions for development, with robust equatorward
outflow, developing poleward outflow, low 10-15 knot wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that invest 93B will consolidate quickly and intensify over the next 24-48 hours while remaining in the same general area…before turning sharply northward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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