Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Mar 23, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95S, which is located approximately 264 NM west of Cocos Islands, Australia
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows flaring convection slightly south of an elongated low level circulation.
95S is currently in a marginally favorable environment with robust poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures, offset by moderate 15 to 20 knot wind shear…and a significant amound of dry air entrainment.
Global models are split regarding 95S, with UKMET, NAVGEM, and CMC showing further development and intensification, although others indicating that 95S will remain broad and weak before dissipating.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remainsmedium.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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