CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 03E…is located 1400 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii
Tropical Cyclone 03E
According to the NHC, the depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, with a turn back toward the west forecast Friday or Friday night, Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later today or tonight. After that, the system is forecast to weaken.
1.) An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is no longer expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
Here’s that the computer models are showing
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent
2.) Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico remain disorganized. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression within the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent
>>> Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system is possible over the weekend and into early next week as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E, located about 1440 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Three-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility on Saturday.
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E, located about 1440 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Three-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility on Saturday.
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90S, which is located approximately 443 NM east of Diego Garcia
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows flaring deep convection with formative banding around a low level circulation.
Invest 90S is currently in a marginal environment, good westward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…offset by high 20-25 knot wind shear.
Global models indicate that the disturbance will remain nearly stationary with limited potential for weak development, before accelerating westward and dissipating.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.
