Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Jun 20, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 06W…is located approximately 210 NM southeast of Andersen AFB
Eastern North Pacific Central North PacificTropical Cyclone 06W
Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 1)
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a partially exposed low level circulation center with deep convective bursts over the center and persistent convective banding displaced over the eastern and northern semicircles.
The upper-level environment is marginally favorable due to the weak poleward outflow into a narrow, weak
low positioned to the north. This is offset somewhat by warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear.
Due to the weak outflow and formative low-level convective structure, the system will intensify slowly as it approaches Guam, with a slight increase in intensity to 35 knots by 24 hours, then gradual intensification to a peak of 45 knots by 72 hours, thereafter the system will weaken due to increasing northerly wind shear
Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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