Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Jun 16, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Eastern North Pacific
A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center in Miami
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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