CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
  Eastern north Pacific https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/07/1800x1080.jpg What the computer models are showing…for what is being referred to as Invest 92E Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with a broad area of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of Puerto Angel, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could still form by this weekend, as long as the system remains over water while drifting north-northeastward. Heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of Central America and southern Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent   >>> What the computer models are showing…for what is being referred to as Invest 93E Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization this afternoon in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent   20210611.143000.WP922021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg thumbnail There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92W, which is located approximately 282 NM south-southwest of Hong Kong Here’s was the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a monsoon depression, but convective bands previously displaced nearly 100 NM are now deepening and consolidating around the system center. The system still exists under a marginally favorable environment with low to moderate wind shear (10-20 knots), offset by a lack of divergence aloft. 92W remains in a favorable area of warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that 92W will continue developing along its west-northwestward track and intensifies prior to moving over Hainan Island. After a brief period of weakening due to frictional effects as 92W passes over Hainan Island, 92W will re-intensify when it enters an area of even warmer waters and lower wind shear over the Gulf of Tonkin. Furthermore, an upper-level anticyclone to the north will retrograde eastward and improve outflow allowing for further intensification. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18-23 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high.   Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.