Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 05E (Cristina)…is located about 335 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Northeast Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 05E (Cristina) According to the NHC, Cristina is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual bend to the west is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Cristina could become a hurricane on Friday before weakening begins over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. Here’s what the computer models are showing 1.) A strong tropical wave located over Central America is expected to move over the far eastern Pacific in a day or so. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form early next week while it moves quickly westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent Satellite image of this area  

Western North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95A, which is located approximately 130 NM south of Karachi, Pakistan Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows well defined low level circulation center, completely sheared of any deep convection. 95A is currently in an unfavorable environment with warm sea surface temperatures, being offset by unfavorable 20-30 knot wind shear and minimal upper level outflow. Global models are in good agreement that the disturbance will continue to track northward, dissipating as it continues to be sheared and begins to interact with the coast of Pakistan and India. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low. Satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.