CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
    https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/WPAC/91W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210216.054000.WP912021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.20kts.100p0.1p0.jpg There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 91W, which is located approximately 217 NM southeast of Yap Here’s was the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals disorganized banding with flaring convection in the eastern periphery wrapping into a weak low level circulation center. Upper level analysis shows invest 91W in a favorable environment for potential tropical development, with low 10-15 knot wind shear, fair northwestward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in agreement that Invest 91W will track westward with possible consolidation over the next 2-3 days. Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.       https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/SHEM/93S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210216.051500.SH932021.seviri.msg-4.Infrared-Gray.25kts.100p0.1p0.jpg There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 136 NM north of Maxixe, Mozambique Here’s was the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals persistent deep convective banding over the low level circulation, gradually moving northeastward out to sea…with a large area of unstructured, flaring deep convection offset to the northwest. 93S is currently in a marginal environment, with low 10-15 knot wind shear and near radial upper level outflow…being offset by continued land interaction. However, once the system moves over open water, it will have access to warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that Invest 93S will track generally northeastward as it moves over water and begins to intensify, before it makes a southward turn. The system is expected to intensify quickly over the Mozambique Channel, however, the rate of intensification will be largely dependent on how closely 93S remains to the coast. 93S is expected to reach warning threshold within 36 hours. Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 20-25 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.   Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.