CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) is located approximately 1005 NM east of Port Louis, Mauritius – Final Warning

Tropical Cyclone 19S (Faraji) Final Warning Sustained 30 knot winds…with gusts to 40 knots (as of Warning Number 19) Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center with isolated weak convection displaced well to the southeast, due to the strong northwesterly flow aloft. Having dissipated below warning criteria due to the combined effects of dry air entrainment, northwesterly convergent flow aloft, and persistent moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, the remnants of TC 19S will continue tracking generally westward along the northern periphery of the low to mid-level subtropical ridge located to the south…but are not expected to redevelop.   https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/WPAC/91W.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210215.023000.WP912021.ahi.himawari-8.Infrared-Gray.15kts.100p0.1p0.jpg There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 91W, which is located approximately 225 NM southeast of Yap Here’s was the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals disorganized banding with flaring convection in the northeast periphery wrapping into a weak low level circulation center. Upper level analysis shows invest 91W in a marginal environment for potential tropical development, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, fair northwestward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in agreement that Invest 91W will track westward with possible consolidation over the next 5-days. Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 10-15 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.   https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc21/SHEM/93S.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20210215.023000.SH932021.seviri.msg-4.Infrared-Gray.25kts.100p0.1p0.jpg There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 168 NM west-northwest of Maxixe, Mozambique Here’s was the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals formative convective banding wrapping into a consolidating low level circulation. An upper level previously positioned over the system has weakened and shifted to the northwest allowing poleward outflow to improve. Global models are in agreement that Invest 93S will track eastward and emerge over warm waters in 36-48 hours, with poleward outflow enhanced by the strong upper level westerly flow to the south. Maximum sustained surface temperatures are estimated at 20-25 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.   Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.