Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 02S (Bongoyo)…is located 670 NM southeast of Diego Garcia in the South Indian Ocean

Northeast Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Western North Pacific

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 02S (Bongoyo)

Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, TC Bongoyo is moving through an overall favorable environment, characterized by poleward outflow, low 10-15 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures. TC 02S is expected to intensify through 24 hours to a peak intensity of 55 knots, and then steadily weaken until it dissipates by 120 hours…due to increasing wind shear, cooling sea surface temperatures.

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96S, which is located approximately 297 NM south-southeast of Jakarta, Indonesia…in the South Indian Ocean Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, Invest 96S is in a favorable environment with good outflow aloft and low <15 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in fair agreement that 96S will consolidate while remaining nearly stationary before turning south-southeastward. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.

There’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 99S, which is located approximately 304 NM west-northwest of Broome, Australia…in the Timor Sea Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, Invest 99S is in a favorable environment for development, with low <15 knot wind shear, good upper outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures, Global models are in fair agreement that 99S will continue to track southeastward towards Australia, with some consolidation before making landfall. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

Arabian Sea

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