CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05B (Burevi)…is located 130 NM north-northwest of Colomo, Sri Lanka – Final Warning
Northeast PacificHere’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Western North Pacific
North Indian OceanTropical Cyclone 05B (Burevi) – Final Warning Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, environmental conditions are marginal with warm sea surface temperatures offset by weak upper level outflow and moderate 15-20 knot wind shear. TC 05B is forecast to remain nearly stationary through 12 hours, and then assume a westward track thereafter. This track will bring the system’s center over Southern India after 12 hours. During the track of land TC Burevi is forecast to weaken to 20 knots by 24 hours, due to continued moderate wind shear and interaction with the underlying terrain. After 24 hours the system emerge again over water as it tracks into the Arabian Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to improve thereafter with low 5-10 knot wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures and improving upper level support. These improved conditions will lead to gradual intensification throughout the remainder of the forecast period and result in an intensity of 45 knots by 120 hours.
South Indian Ocean
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95S, which is located approximately 731 NM east of Diego Garcia…in the South Indian Ocean Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a disorganized low level circulation center, with some weak fragmented convection. Invest 95S is currently in a marginally favorable environment for development, with some poleward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that 95S will begin to track generally south-southwestward, and gradually intensify over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is remains high.
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