CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05B (Burevi)…is located 270 NM east of Cochin, India
Northeast PacificHere’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Western North Pacific
North Indian OceanTropical Cyclone 05B (Burevi) Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, upper level analysis indicates favorable environment with low wind shear, and near radial outflow…however, the system is beginning to interact with Sri Lanka, which may limit development. TC 05B is forecast to track westward through 36 hours, thereafter, the system will turn west-southwestward . The storm is expected to intensify to a peak of 45 knots within 12 hours. After that, the system will weaken as it tracks over northern Sri Lanka…with further weakening over Southern India.
South Indian Ocean
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95S, which is located approximately 592 NM east of Diego Garcia…in the South Indian Ocean Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a weak and broad low level circulation with the flaring convection in the southwestern quadrant. Invest 95S is currently in a favorable environment with good equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures…offset by 20-25 knot wind shear. Global models are in good agreement that 95S will track generally south-southwestward, and intensify. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
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