CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 05P (Yasa)…is located 236 NM east-northeast of Port Vila, Vanuatu
Tropical Cyclone 06P…is located 250 NM west-northwest of Niue
Western North PacificTropical Cyclone 05P (Yasa)
Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts spiral bands of convection wrapping into an obscured low level circulation center. TC 05P is tracking through a favorable environment with low 5-10 knot wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures and supportive upper level outflow. The system is forecast to track generally southwestward to westward over the next 24 hours. The system is forecast to gradually intensify to 90 knots by 72 hours, due to continued low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures until this time. Thereafter, increasing wind shear will slow the intensification trend, resulting in a peak intensity of 95 knots when 96-120 hours. Tropical Cyclone 06P
Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts convective spiral bands wrapping into an obscured low level circulation center. TC 06P is tracking through a favorable environment with low 10-15 knot wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures and weak outflow aloft. The system will track generally southwestward through 24 hours. The environment will remain favorable for intensification and support gradual intensification to 45 knots. Gradual intensification will continue through 48 hours, and lead to a peak intensity of 55 knots by that time. Thereafter, the system will begin extratropical transition as it begins to weaken, due to high 30+ knot wind shear. By 96 hours, the system will weaken to 35 knots.
North Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
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