CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 12E (Genevieve)…is located 45 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California  

Northeast Pacific

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES17/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg According to the NHC Advisory 15A…Genevieve is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A turn toward the northwest is expected later this morning, with that motion continuing through Saturday.  On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to pass just to the southwest and west of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula today, and move away from the peninsula on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected today and through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).  A sustained wind of 65 mph (105 km/h) and a gust to 84 mph (135 km/h) was recently reported in Cabo San Lucas Marina, Baja California Sur. Here’s what the computer models are showing HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area tonight and Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the southern Baja California peninsula by this afternoon, especially over higher terrain. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight or Thursday morning, especially over higher terrain. RAINFALL: Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches across portions of far southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California peninsula through Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.   >>> An area of low pressure is expected to form later this week several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)  

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_2d0.png
Showers and thunderstorms have increased but remain disorganized with an area of low pressure located some 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for development as the system moves toward the west near 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)  

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg >>> There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90W, which is located approximately 200 NM east-northeast of Legazpi, Philippines Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, the environment is conducive for further development with low 10-15 wind shear, moderate upper level outflow aloft, and very warm sea surface temperatures. Models are in very good agreement that the system will continue to track northwestward over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots. The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low. Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.