CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Typhoon 02W (Surigae)…is located 253 NM south of Kadena AB, Okinawa
Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo) is located 618 NM north-northwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar
  https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/02W_221800sair.jpg
Typhoon 02W (Surigae)
Sustained 80 knot winds…with gusts to 100 knots (as of Warning Number 39) Here’s what the computer models are showing Looping, wide view satellite image…showing TY Surigae According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows deep convection has become increasingly fragmented, cloud tops have warmed significantly within the eastern portion of the circulation and a clear eye is no longer evident in infrared satellite imagery. Environmental analysis indicates moderate and increasing wind shear (about 20 knots), marginal sea surface temperatures, and persistent, favorably strong eastward and poleward outflow aloft. TY 02W will continue to turn eastward and dip slightly equatorward over the next 36 to 48 hours. Steady weakening is expected as westerly wind shear increases and along track sea surface temperatures decrease. Strong wind shear and passage over cooler water will lead to steady weakening in the medium term. However, a mid-latitude trough is expected to sustain the system near storm force (50 knots), as the system undergoes extratropical transition. In the extended period, TY 02S is expected to accelerate northeastward and complete extratropical transition as a strong low pressure system as it merges with a mid-latitude trough.     https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/29S_230000sair.jpg Tropical Cyclone 29S (Jobo) Sustained 45 knot winds…with gusts to 55 knots (as of Warning Number 5) Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, although sea surface temperatures are high, moderate wind shear (15-20 knots) and convergent flow aloft, have induced a slow weakening trend. TC 29S is expected to continue tracking west-northwestward under the steering influence of subtropical ridging to the south. until it makes landfall in central Tanzania around 72 hours. Additional weakening is anticipated as generally unfavorable upper-level conditions persist, with dissipation below the 35 knot warning threshold now expected to occur by 72 hours.   Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.