Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Apr 12, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94W, which is located approximately 488 NM south-southwest of Guam
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows flaring, deep convection in the northeastern periphery of the assessed low
level circulation center.
Invest 94W is in a favorable environment for tropical development with robust westward and equatorward outflow aloft, low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that invest 94W will steadily intensify as it tracks to the northwest over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18-23 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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