CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar)…is located 310 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina
Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)…is located 485 miles east of Belize City
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg   Atlantic Ocean:   https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/15L.OMAR/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200901.2330.goes16.x.ir1km_bw.15LOMAR.30kts-1007mb-350N-722W.100pc.jpg Tropical Cyclone 15L (Omar) Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the NHC Advisory 6… Omar is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A turn to the east is forecast to occur Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change is strength is expected through Wednesday. A weakening trend should begin Wednesday night, and Omar is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Thursday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. >>> Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure about midway between the Windward Islands and west Africa appear to be slowly becoming better organized. Some additional development of this system is possible this week as the system meanders in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND SURF: Swells generated by the depression will continue to affect portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina through this evening, causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. >>> Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low pressure about midway between the Windward Islands and west Africa appear to be slowly becoming better organized. Some additional development of this system is possible this week as the system meanders in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent >>> A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa on Wednesday and merge with a disturbance centered a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands in the next day or so. Gradual development of this system is then possible, and this system could become a tropical depression by this weekend while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean Gulf of Mexico:  Caribbean:  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL162020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/175306_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/16L.NANA/ir/geo/1km_bw/20200901.2330.goes17.x.ir1km_bw.16LNANA.45kts-1002mb-167N-784W.100pc.jpg
Tropical Cyclone 16L (Nana)
Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the NHC Advisory 4…Nana is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. A westward or west-southwestward motion is expected Wednesday night and Thursday. On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north of the coast of Honduras on Wednesday and likely be approaching the coast of Belize Wednesday night and early Thursday. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Nana is forecast to become a hurricane on Wednesday or Wednesday night before it reaches the coast of Belize. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area beginning Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by late Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area on Wednesday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in Belize, and 2 to 4 inches across northern Honduras and the southeast portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. SURF: Swells generated by this system are affecting portions of the southern coast of Jamaica, and will continue into Wednesday morning. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico