CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES: 
Tropical Cyclone 25L (Gamma)…is located 85 miles south-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico
  https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg   Atlantic Ocean:   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_2d0.png https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png A tropical wave is producing widespread cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean Sea, with locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds affecting portions of the ABC Islands, the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the central and western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent >>> Shower activity has increased since yesterday in association with a tropical wave located about midway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Some slow development of this system may occur during the next several days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean Caribbean:  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT25/refresh/AL252020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/150146_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc20/ATL/25L.TWENTYFIVE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20201002.1430.goes17.x.vis1km_high.25LTWENTYFIVE.30kts-1006mb-172N-839W.100pc.jpg Tropical Cyclone 25L (Gamma) Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the NHC Advisory 3A…Gamma is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the west or west-southwest. On the forecast track, the center of Gamma should be near the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula later today. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (70 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected before Gamma moves inland over the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula later today. After landfall, slight weakening or little change in strength is expected. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL:Gamma is expected to produce rainfall of 4 to 8 inches across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and far western Cuba, with maximum rainfall amounts as high as 10 to 15 inches possible across the northeastern portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods. A separate area of significant rain is expected to develop well away from the center in the Mexican states of Campeche, Tabasco, and northern Chiapas with rainfall of 8 to 12 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with maximum amounts of 5 inches is expected in the Bay Islands of Honduras and over the Cayman Islands. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area by early Saturday, and are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area on Saturday and Sunday. WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea Gulf of Mexico:  Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico