There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the broad trough of low pressure, being referred to as Invest 91L, near the southeast U.S coast
What the computer models are showing
An elongated area of low pressure located just offshore of the northeast Florida and Georgia coasts and an associated upper-level disturbance are producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although the disturbance has changed little in organization during the past several hours, some development is possible before it moves inland over the southeast U.S. by Wednesday afternoon. After the system is inland, tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding over portions of the Carolinas on Wednesday. Gusty winds could also produce rough marine conditions and life-threatening surf and rip currents along the coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent