Tropical Cyclone 03L (Cristobal)…is located about 75 miles south-southeast of Monroe, Louisiana
Atlantic Ocean:There are no active tropical cyclones
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles east or northeast of Bermuda within a day or two. Environmental conditions are not expected to be particularly conducive for the low to acquire subtropical characteristics before the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Cyclone 03L (Cristobal
According to the NHC, the depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion should continue today. A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a faster north-northeast motion Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Cristobal should move through northeastern Louisiana today, through Arkansas and eastern Missouri tonight and Tuesday, and reach Wisconsin and the western Great Lakes by Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected through Tuesday. However, Cristobal is expected to strengthen some as it becomes an extratropical low Tuesday night and Wednesday.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf coast and will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle.
WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are expected to continue during the next few hours over portions of the northern Gulf coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. Gusty winds could also occur Tuesday night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal becomes an extratropical low.
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across portions of the central to eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 15 inches. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to Upper Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of Cristobal. This rainfall has led to flash flooding and forecast widespread river flooding across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Smaller streams across southeast LA and southern MS have begun to rise and are forecast to crest mid-week. New and renewed significant river flooding is possible across the mid and upper Mississippi Valley.
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible today and tonight across Mississippi, Alabama, southeastern Louisiana, eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, and southeastern Missouri.
SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal are still affecting portions of the northern and eastern Gulf coast, and are likely causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.